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Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research

Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research

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Peer-reviewed publication

Can CGCMs under CMIP5/6 simulate present-day sea level rise in western Maritime Continent?

Trends of present-day sea level anomaly (SLA) in western Maritime Continent based on the combination of global thermal expansion and ocean dynamics (steric/dynamic), simulated by Coupled Global Climate Models (CGCMs) under the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase-5 and 6 (CMIP5/6), are evaluated by using satellite observation. Trends of SLA based on the steric/dynamic component of sea level underestimate the one observed by the satellite for the interior seas of western Maritime Continent. However, satellite observation is also known to overestimate the rate of sea level rise in this shallow basin. Thus, the actual trends of SLA in this area could be approximated based on its steric/dynamic component simulated by CGCMs such as ACCESS1-0 and MIROC-ESM.